I planned a trip for week of July fourth. Usually I would have not done this, but with reduced capacity I didn’t think much of it. But now COVID numbers are going down I worry that they will be at max capacity by then. I would take 50 or even 75 but max capacity during that busy time of year would ruin my trip. Also if they do will it be with Fast pass or without Fast pass, and how long before this will they announce it. Full capacity without Fast Pass would be miserable. Any rumors out there or thoughts
It's hard to give a reasoned opinion when certain basic aspects of your trip are missing. The biggest for me is whether you are staying at a Disney resort or not and whether you are planning on eating at Disney or not. Assuming you are staying at a Disney resort and eating at Disney restaurants, I would focus a lot of attention at snagging those Disney meal reservations. Reservations at restaurants seem much tougher now than it has in the past (limited capacity because of spacing requirements). My family and I are going in early June and we got pretty much all of the restaurant reservations we wanted, but I was online at 06:30 exactly 60 days out. Even then, it was only because I had a day-by-day plan laid out in front of me when I got online; and when I did not get the exact day and time for a restaurant, I could swap out and shift. For example, I wanted both Be Our Guest and Cinderella's Castle for dinner on two different days. I did not get the Be Our Guest Restaurant reservation (the first one I tried for!) but I immediately swapped it out for Cinderella's Castle and was able to then get Be Our Guest for the time slot I had hoped to get Cinderella's Castle.
One of the strategies that I am hoping will work for our trip is to get to the parks early (45-minutes-before-rope-drop early). On the way to the parks, we will put in our mobile order for an 11:00 quick service meal at our favorite lunch place. We will then ride as many rides as we can, and break for lunch at 11:00. This has always worked very well for us. Depending on the condition of your family, you can choose to then ride less congested rides (using the
MDE app to gauge wait times). You could also take a break and go back to the resort. The dining reservations drive this a little. For my family, we hang and stay at the park and go to dinner at 4:00 pm (usually when the sit-down restaurant is just opening). This is wonderful in June.
You will know what your children will be able to handle.
As a side note, based on the ages of your children, I would also plan to do some of the less heralded activities. For example, instead of eating in a park when you are at EPCOT or HS, you could take the Skyliner to a resort and eat at the resort (either have the reservation if it is a table service restaurant or place your mobile order in early.
Because of the ages of your kids, I bet they would love riding on the skyliner. In fact, it could be the hit of their day.
Focus on family activities -- chances are the resort you are staying in has a scavenger hunt (most of them do -- or one close by will have one). Do this activity as a family.
Resort Scavenger Hunts
This may be one of the favorite things your kids do.
For one of your park days, take a break and go to Guest Relations (maybe just before you leave the park) and get free First Timer buttons. Cast members may recognize you for this. Your servers at restaurants may also do this (no guarantees).
Good grief, sorry for the length of this!
Bottom line -- do not go into this with the dread that the parks will be slammed and it will ruin your vacation. There still will be plenty of magic and pixie dust for you and your family.