Renting doesn't add to the booking competition at 7 months, buy where you love to stay and book at 11 months.
Bill
I would disagree, but it may just be a different angle.
I have BWV points. Now, I almost aways book BWV eleven months out - we like our resort and are happy to stay there. But lets say that I was a person who liked to sleep around - and used my own points. At seven months, I'd be giving up my BWV points and booking - say VWL - a resort we also like. That would let another person - probably someone who doesn't have BWV points, use our points.
With a healthy rental market, if I rent my BWV points, my renter isn't going to switch at seven months. If instead of being someone who generally uses my own points, I was someone who rented every other years worth of points to cruise, or just for cash because my kids had outgrown Disney and I didn't need a yearly trip, my BWV points would be stagnant to the resort.
Now, I don't think the issue is as huge as people think it is. I think most people who own the smaller/popular resorts don't rent that many points - they use them and they use them mostly at home like I do. When we've run surveys in the past, BWV and BCV owners almost always stay at their home resort - and I'd guess the same is true for VGC, VGF and the Poly (BLT I'm less certain of). But there isn't any doubt that if I don't use my own points, I'd rent them through a broker, and rent them with the eleven month window, because I pay a lot in dues as a BWV owner and I have more capital tied up in those points than someone who purchased less expensive points, I believe I have a right to the profit. I made the "investment" - its mine to use or profit from.
The flip of that though is that a lot of original - or even early resale - BWV/BCV owners are getting to the gap years - if they bought when their kids were prime Disney age those kids are heading towards college. I know because we bought our resale when BCV was opening and my kids were toddlers - and my son heads off to tech school next year. That may mean fewer trips as college bills hit and kids aren't interested, fewer points as a smaller unit works for empty nesters. That's going to put those points out on the rental market for anyone who wants to keep their contract.
I will say that the one time I rented out my points, I picked a reservation that was pre-F&W. Mostly because I didn't want the hassle of trying to book a F&W reservation for someone else. But the side effect was a room I didn't use at BWV over F&W for someone else to use.