drusba, Doc,
Thanks for your replies.
Yes, (I think) I understand what is meant by Breakage Income. That is why I'm explicitly stating "60-day breakage revenues" in my questions. I'm trying to exclude all of the other non-DVC exchanges from the discussion.
drusba: What you see in the annual budget is not even actual breakage income that goes to offset dues. The budget is an estimate. Thus, the number that appears there is the estimated breakage income for the upcoming year that will be used to offset dues. That number would be the 2.5% cap number or something lower.
Good. That makes sense.
drusba: Also, if I recall correctly when DVC did report occupancy rates, it was reporting rates of reservations by members using points and left out of the occupancy rate numbers everything else, including exchanges resulting in non-DVC member use and cash reservations by members. In other words, the figures you may have seen cannot tell you what percentage of the rooms were actually available as breakage units.
I was looking at some information that was showing approximately a 25% vacancy rate at BWV. From your statement, then that 25% includes breakage, non-DVC swaps, etc. Thus, the true number of Breakage Income rooms is somewhere between 0% and 25% for that year. I was very surprised to see this number so high.
Doing some quick math, if I assume that
all 60-day Breakage Income comes from weekend rentals
only (no weekday rentals) then the 2.5% cap ($371,491) will be reached with 3% of the weekend rooms rented out. The 3% rooms would equate to roughly 12 rooms for Saturday and 12 rooms for Sunday (this of course depends upon the size of the room and rental fee -- I'm making an approximate calculation).
From my uninformed knowledge base, it doesn't seem like such a daunting task for CRO to sell 12 weekend day rooms over the past few years of high demand. This is just my personal opinion and is not based upon any factual knowledge, and certainly the current climate is much different. I recall reading that WDW Co. had ~95% occupancy rates in the resorts over the past few years.
One absolute way of testing this premise would be to look at the
actual Annual Operating Budget numbers.
a) If the actual Breakage Income is
less than 2.5% of the total budget then we know that WDW Co. is not receiving additional revenues from the sale of the DVC rooms due to Breakage vacancies, and the total number of rented Breakage Income rooms is low.
b) If the actual Breakage Income is
equal to 2.5% of the total budget then we know that WDW Co. is receiving additional revenues from DVCMC, we just don't know how much.
1) Does anyone have the actual budget numbers (Total Budget and Breakage Income) for BWV for year 2000?
2) Any thoughts on why DVCMC recently stopped reporting the occupancy rate numbers to its members?
Troy
P.S. Thanks for letting me ramble on with this discussion.