Make you wonder ............She (?) didn’t make a post about it but they blanked all their posts and are now posting somewhere else.
Make you wonder ............She (?) didn’t make a post about it but they blanked all their posts and are now posting somewhere else.
She (?) didn’t make a post about it but they blanked all their posts and are now posting somewhere else.
Suffice to say that I felt that I was no longer free to provide my analysis and commentary with integrity on DisBoo! Such a bummer but I hope you are well and have simply found something else to take your time. You have been appreciated!
Thank you SOOOO much for doing this type of research. I hope to finally be in a position to buy into DVC sometime near the end of this year. I've been researching things, including this feed since it started, and I love having an idea what a truly fair offer would be when the time finally comes...Below is a comparison of what contracts sold for based on data posted by dis members during the last 2 months in comparison to the overage listing price. For the resellers that I track
Resort ROFR listing difference
AKV 109 119 -10
AUL 75 105 -30
BLT 147 159 -12
BCV 134 152 -18
BWV 120 132 -12
BRV 93 113 -20
CCV 139 155 -16
VGF 167 182 -15
HH 76 81 -5
OKW 105 105 0
Poly 135 155 -20
SS 104 114 -10
VB 65 76 -11
And right after reading your previous post from a few weeks ago and commenting how awesome it was, I get to the one that say you will not be posting anymore... "Isn't it ironic... Don't you think?" - Alanis MorissetteSuffice to say that I felt that I was no longer free to provide my analysis and commentary with integrity on Dis
You may very well be right. To be clear, I think that prices will fall to about 50% from their highs, which puts BWV at about $65 and BLT at about $75-80.
So here's the deal...I actually do think that the shut down (in some form or fashion) is going to last 4-6 months. I think that the damage to the economy will be irreparable in the short term and only somewhat devastating in the long term. I think there is less than a 1% chance of a V-shaped recovery, I think it's going to take a decade to recover from this mess. Finally, I think the number of people willing to scoop up bargain-priced DVC contracts is shrinking by the day.
All in all it's about as pessimistic a view as one can have about our current and future economic situation. I'll be more than happy to come back on here in a year and say I was wrong. But something tells me I won't have to.
Going through this thread almost a year later. It’s crazy what people thought was going to happen to DVC resale prices. I would’ve never predicted the complete opposite as prices are at an all time high. The “addonitis” side of me wishes these price drops actually happened.
At this point I realize it's impossible to predict but fun to discuss at leastSo, what are everyone's thoughts on where DVC prices are headed now?
My guess is there will be renewed demand later this year, and into 2022, as those who stayed employed and built up savings (and/or saw their investments grow), and now with "covid cabin" fever create a surge of "irrational exuberance" on vacation spending.
On the contrarian side:
- A good stock market correction could curtail the desire of the group above to spend more than typical on vacations.
- There were lot of homes purchased this last year - I suspect people in this group aren't as likely to also purchase a timeshare over the next couple of years.
- A lot of the country is still struggling, and this next stimulus is probably the last
- DVC is overpriced (IMHO) - and with the cost cutting I wonder how quickly Disney can bring back enough of the magic. I feel like the cost/value ratio was getting questionable over the last few years (prior to covid) , and now I question it even more.
Between these two pros/cons I'm thinking prices will stay high through mid 2022, but then flatten out (with resale possibly correcting some) for the next few years after that as Disney struggles to justify their premium prices.
But, who knows... I was completely wrong in my assessment over the summer
Hi @Kickstart!So, what are everyone's thoughts on where DVC prices are headed now?
You’re absolutely correct, at least in my experience. I’m easily renting points for $15 - $18pp. We now have regulars who are constantly asking for points. The disappointment of missing out on travel has had its advantages.I should also say that it surprises me that the 'point rental market' appears to have remained fairly strong. Am I wrong on that?
It's been a year....I was wrong.Going through this thread almost a year later. It’s crazy what people thought was going to happen to DVC resale prices. I would’ve never predicted the complete opposite as prices are at an all time high. The “addonitis” side of me wishes these price drops actually happened.
It's been a year....I was wrong.
Is there a chart like this for Grand Californian villas?Here is the list of average resale prices for https://www.dvcresalemarket.com.
View attachment 482372
Is there a chart like this for Grand Californian villas?
And Grand Californian appears to have increased sine February, looks the average is now about $250, which is well over 3 times what we paid when we bought in.