It's close. Very tight. You stand a chance making it but stand a decent chance being late too. Depends on how comfortable you are checking in to an ADR late. We'll push 15 min or so but no more, others aren't as comfortable with even that.
If you do it you'd want to position yourself to be near the top, close to an exit nearest to the side you'll head out and ready to book it as soon as the show is over. May not be the best seat but you'd be in the theater at least.
I'd start looking for a car as you come down through the Oasis, see what the waits are, request it one so you time your walking out to meet them about when they'd arrive (knowing your walking speed, etc)
You do NOT want Minnie Van. Their pick up is at the far end of the bus stops and a much further walk than the passenger pickup location. Stick with Uber/Lyft.