Is there any reason to think that an extended OKW would not have "approximately" the same market resale value as SSR?
Using SSR market value as a quide, are you willing to pay $15 per point to bring your OKW ownership up to the market value of SSR? Of course not. It is a bad deal. Excellent for disney but bad for anyone who is considering extending for the sole purpose of increasing resale value. It is no different than selling OKW now and buying AKV "so you can have the higher resale value". Just my opinion of course but think it over carefully. I still feel this is only good for someone who wants and will be using their DVC after the current 35 year end.
A couple things to consider on why SSR might not be "equivalent" to OKW:
1) OKW, with extension, will have 3 more years. Negligible difference, but considering, with the proposed subsidized price of $15 ppt for the extension, you'd think that would work out to about $3 per point difference (assuming you break down 15ppt / 15 years = $1 ppt per year).
2) OKW rooms are larger than SSR's rooms. That may mean OKW turns out to have a bit more value than similar SSR rooms.
3) OKW room take less points to book than SSR, meaning points are "more valuable" because they buy you more. That may put a premium on those points.
Obviously OKW is much older than SSR..the question is does the "age difference" offset OKW's advantages? I don't know....looks like the market will get to answer that question.
However, there's enough difference that I'm not
sure you can draw a direct parallel between SSR and OKW. SSR might be a decent "jumping off point", but because of the above, I'm not sure it's safe to assume they're equal.
Edit:
The other issue, and we've talked about it before, is you don't know what will happen to 2042 contracts after the extension option is offered. It could be the resale price on those 2042 contracts drops...or that extended contracts go up...or a bit of both.
If it were simply a matter of ASSUREDLY paying $15 to increase resale value $5....you're right, it's not a good deal. The problem is..there's no such assurances...in either the increase in resale price OR in the price level maintenance of the 2042 contracts. You just don't know.....not in the immediate, and certainly not in the long term. All you can reasonably guess at is that it will have SOME effect. WHAT effect that is.....specualtion. And unless their is a clairvoyant lurking around that wants to help out, everybody is left wondering, with no real concrete answer.